Sunday, December 6, 2009

It was inevitable given the trends

If you cannot see how it ends, click it.

The prices at intrade does not reflect the polling results. The probability that Obama will be re-elected in 2012 is at 61.5% and shows little trend. That is just a bit below the probablily that the Democrats will maintain control of the House of Representatives in 2010, at 62.6%, though that has been trending downward.

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